The retrospective pattern of futurists' predictions is pretty clear: almost all optimistic predictions about medicine end up being mostly or entirely incorrect.
The narrative of near-future (10-20 years) medical breakthroughs is continually reiterated by the media, only with the horizon pushed further and further forward, with the effect of distorting the public's perception of the actual pace of medical innovation.
I wonder what kind of changes (regulatory or other) you would see if the general public came to accept that radical progress in medicine - absent radical change - wasn't going to happen in their lifetimes, and that medicine twenty years from now would be little different and only marginally more effective than it is today.
The narrative of near-future (10-20 years) medical breakthroughs is continually reiterated by the media, only with the horizon pushed further and further forward, with the effect of distorting the public's perception of the actual pace of medical innovation.
I wonder what kind of changes (regulatory or other) you would see if the general public came to accept that radical progress in medicine - absent radical change - wasn't going to happen in their lifetimes, and that medicine twenty years from now would be little different and only marginally more effective than it is today.