watch for signs where it becomes more profitable to take other people's stuff or prevent them from having it than to fixing your own backyard.
If anything capitalism may be stalling full blown world wars now, it simply costs to much to do them and its far more profitable to not. However limited wars and police actions are far more likely to keep the threat to all that money being made minimal
That time is upon us. I agree that Capitalist Organization [G20,WTO,etc] has prevented at least one major conflict, but it would appear to have done that by fomenting and/or suppressing the conflicts of smaller groups. The weapons get sold, but the stockpiles stay evenish.
This is falling apart. Moscow was backed into a corner, and the bet a lot the US, NATO, and EU would do nothing substantial in the face of naked force. They won that hand. This makes every player at the table more gutsy or more scared.
Incipient Muslim region-states blossom across the globe, every single one of them in an area where rampant capitalism was used, and abused, to modernize[sic] the region.
Smaller European nations reforge alliances and mutual defense pacts. 'Scientific' reports of any given nations 'weakness' in terms of humanpower, weapons, etc. start to crop up in media forms. Soon enough the christians will jump in, and with them comes the child soldiery tolerance.
I digress from fantasy, but more to the point: the next war may look more like a massive construction project that kills a bunch of people on the edges.
all my opinions; would love to discuss if you think im way off.
Is it seriously? Right now we're having a civil war in the middle of Europe, "war on drugs" claims thousands of victims each year, both may continue without end and even expand.
And I'm not even touching middle east and africa where civil war without end seems to be the new norm.
We don't see superpower regular army clashes, but we're having other wars in excess.
Two recent works [0] have attempted to model the occurrences and magnitudes of terrorist events and war casualties. Both seem to fit power law distributions.
The Johnson et al. work was mentioned at the end of the article.
